Home' Defence Magazine : Issue 3 2011 Contents 43
Technology is rapidly
evolving and what may
appear futuristic today may
be archaic tomorrow. To
keep up with technological
advancements and inform
Directorate of Technology
Futures has been established
to identify and analyse
Disruptive technologies and
innovations are those developments that
force enterprises to rethink the way they
do business. These development may
be unwanted, unexpected or simply so
per vasive that they cannot be ignored.
In the 1990s, the internet emerged as a
world-wide phenomenon and profoundly
changed the face of technology. In
1991 the internet had grown to one
million users and the web browser was
introduced to a receptive public alongside
mobile SMS.The internet is now
estimated to have more than two billion
users with web browsers becoming
almost ubiquitous and more than 11
trillion SMS messages being sent annually.
More recently, Facebook is an
excellent example of a disruptive
technology, with the media and
advertising compelled to utilise it or risk
losing social and commercial positioning.
Taking into consideration this rapid
technological change, imagine the
complexity associated with planning for
the next 20 years as the Chief Infor mation
Officer Group (CIOG) guides
information technology towards 2030.
To assist with that challenge,
the Chief Technology Officer has
established a Directorate of Technology
Futures that provides analysis, advocacy
and advice to decision-makers to
shape information technology strategy,
architecture and policy. Here are some
topics that the futures team expect to
shape decision making in 2011.
Information technology used to be
an expensive, precious and controlled
resource. Then technology became
cheap and now it is almost disposable.
The costs shifted to adapting, integrating
and operating ser vices, but even that is
becoming a commodity as it becomes
possible to buy information ser vices
from a competitive market.
This means that information
technology organisations will change
their focus from building and supporting
technology to procuring ser vices
and managing strategic partnerships
with suppliers. CIOG is changing its
and procurement practices to meet
Cloud computing is a sourcing and
delivery model for enabling
on-demand access to computing
resources or information services.
It is not a technology, but it does
rely on advanced technologies like
Cloud computing represents a
strategic shift in market models for
information ser vice delivery and is
disruptive to suppliers who are looking
for a viable way to compete as the
industry becomes highly commoditised.
This shift seems set to offer
opportunities around cost structures
and risk transfer but also raises
questions about security, dependence
CIOG’s effor ts to modernise and
consolidate information infrastructure
will position Defence well for selective
use of cloud computing where its
advantages can be exploited.
The fact that information technologies
are becoming consumer technologies
is obvious in any electronics store.
Products are now aiming to meet personal
wants more than enterprise needs,
making amazing innovations available at
extraordinary prices and blurring the line
between business and personal use.
The technologies are compelling and
attractive to users and therefore find their way
into organisations such as Defence.This trend
is accelerating with tablets and smartphones
being prevalent examples. CIOG is working
to build on its experience with Blackberry and
DREAMS with more flexible and increasingly
modern options in the pipeline.
For more information on recent
developments in Defence’s Blackberry and
DREAMS capabilities, refer to the CIOG
ar ticle in Issue 1/2011 of Defence Magazine.
Last year starkly demonstrated the
reality of what was previously considered
by many to be a largely theoretical cyber
threat. Wikileaks, the ‘Stuxnet’ virus and
the capabilities of the ‘Anonymous’ hacker
group showed a level of sophistication that
made a real impact.
The problem will become more
important as people and organisations
become ever more dependent on
information technology for everything
from financial transactions to managing
their social lives.
Defence has contributed to a whole-of-
government approach to improving cyber
security through the establishment of the
Cyber Security Operations Centre and
centralisation of government security vetting.
Who to contact: The Directorate of
Technology Futures is keen to receive your
ideas or comments on technologies that
you believe can shape Defence’s future.
Their email address is
and what to expect
By Dave Lundquest and Eric Kordt
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